Russell 2000 12-Year Chart After its Best 4-Day Stretch in 5 Years

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Photo: Forbes

MarketWatch — U.S. stocks rallied Wednesday (Nov. 9), with the Dow industrials jumping 257 points, led by a surge in financial, health-care and industrial stocks, as investors bet on the infrastructure spending policy promised by President-elect Donald Trump.

Trump’s acceptance speech early Wednesday mentioning Keynesian-style spending and sounding a touch more conciliatory than had been the case during his campaign appeared to reset investors’ expectations.

The 70-year-old real-estate developer pledged to supporters gathered in New York City that he will “be president for all Americans.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA  gained as much as 316 points, briefly surpassing the all-time closing high set in August. The index closed 256.95 points, or 1.4%, higher at 18,589.69, its highest level since Aug. 18. Pfizer Inc.PFE  and Caterpillar Inc CAT  led the gains, rallying more than 7%.

The S&P 500 index SPX  ended up 23.70 points, or 1.1%, at 2,163.26, as big gains in health care, financials and industrials more than offset sharp losses in defensive sectors such as utilities and consumer staples. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF IBB was one of the clearest winners, surging 13%.

Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite COMP  advanced 57.58 points, or 1.1%, to 5,251.07. Technology stocks, in general, were weaker with uncertainty of trade policies hanging over global giants like Apple Inc. AAPL

The Russell 2000 index RUT  outperformed the large-cap index, soaring 3.1% to 1,231.20 on Wednesday, to stretch the small-cap-stocks tracker’s win streak to four sessions.

Some analysts said the positive reaction in markets reflects the notion that the election results haven’t changed the fundamentals of the economy.

“Not much changes short-term except emotions and rhetoric. So dips are opportunities because fundamentals are positive and if Trump plans to spend more, the economy and stocks will move higher next year too. Stocks are very resilient,” said Kate Warne, investment strategist at Edward Jones.

The rally on Wall Street was in contrast to sharp losses seen in the futures market before the market opened, as it became apparent that the Republican contender was close to pulling off a major upset in the U.S. presidential contest.

Dow futures plunged as much as 800 points late Tuesday and early Wednesday as Trump claimed victories in several key battleground states, while S&P 500 futures hit a trading limit, down 5%, the biggest futures decline allowed under CME Group rules.

As calm returned to Wall Street, implied volatility on the S&P 500, as measured by CBOE Volatility Index, VIX fell 20% to 15.02, after spiking well above 20 premarket.

The ICE U.S. Dollar index DXY a measure of the dollar’s performance against a basket of six rivals, rose 0.7% to 98.545.

Russell 2000 12-Year Chart:

Overall, the Russell 2000 has obviously performed quite well, having an 11.7% price growth over the last 5 years. What’s worrisome is if this latest 4-day stretch is justified or  if it’s just bullish sentiment after a chaotic election season. Over the last year, RUT earnings have fallen 7.2% and dividends haven’t altered – so until the other key metrics follow suit, it’s worth treading lightly.


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